Gareth Soloway: Great Depression is the Only Way to Resolve this Level of Debt

Tom welcomes back Gareth Soloway, President, CEO & Chief Market Strategist for Verfied Investing. The conversation centers on the significant influence of the top six companies in the S&P and NASDAQ, which make up approximately 33% of these indexes, raising apprehensions for passive or specific investors. Soloway underscores potential risks associated with this overallocation, such as flash crashes or market declines, emphasizing the role of algorithms in exacerbating risk due to their massive investments and swift responses to market shifts. Soloway also shares his concerns about various economic indicators signaling a weaker economy than suggested by broad indices. He mentions the transportation sector, Airbnb rentals, and commodities like copper and oil as examples of potential weaknesses that could impact consumer spending and tech giants like Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple. Copper and oil, often viewed as economic health indicators, have shown signs of potential downturns. Soloway anticipates a return of inflation to 2% once the economy slows down, but warns of a quick rebound when the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates aggressively during an economic downturn. He fears this could lead to difficulties for the Fed in rescuing the economy as they have done in the past. Central banks' responses to inflation are also discussed, with Soloway suggesting they can impact inflation through interest rates and quantitative tightening measures. The Federal Reserve is challenged to balance its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. Gareth discusses potential consequences of high inflation, such as affecting consumer confidence and leading investors to shift from stocks to bonds. He also touches on rate effects on wealthy individuals and the growing US debt, which could impact future interest rate cuts and the possibility of a financial reset. Gareth believes that significant economic collapse could occur within the next five to ten years, possibly resulting in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) implementation as a solution or band-aid fix for an already fragile economic situation. The conversation also covers challenges the Federal Reserve faces during elections and potential impacts of other central banks' rate cuts on the US economy. Lastly, Gareth raises concerns about financial institution risks due to asset-liability mismatches and potential massive losses, especially in commercial real estate. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:32 - Equity Concentration1:28 - Flash Crash Risks?2:27 - Trading Algos & Exits3:36 - Economy & Weakness4:14 - Transport ETF Chart5:09 - Russell 2000 Index5:45 - AirBnB Chart7:32 - Copper Chart9:18 - Crude Oil Chart10:23 - Inflation Thoughts12:28 - Rates, Demand, & Credit14:58 - The Debt End Game17:52 - The CBDC "Fix"?19:50 - Fed & 2024 Election Cycle21:44 - Foreign C.B. Rate Cuts22:28 - Market Risks & Banks26:33 - Gold/Silver Outlook30:18 - Palladium Chart32:33 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/GarethSolowayWebsite: https://inthemoneystocks.com/Website: https://verifiedinvestingcrypto.comWebsite: https://verifiedinvestingeducation.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gareth-soloway-60827953/ Chief Market Strategist Gareth Soloway has been an avid swing and day trader since his days at Binghamton University, where he studied Economics. After college, Gareth quickly excelled as a financial adviser, but his heart was always in swing and day trading.