Numera Analytics on the Art and Science of Global Macro Research

In this episode, we dive deep into the world of financial markets and economic models with our guest, Joaquin Kritz Lara from Numera Analytics. We explore the importance of a probabilistic approach, the role of uncertainty, the dynamics of inflation, and much more.• The importance of a probabilistic approach in financial markets and the disregard around uncertainty• The role of economists and their strong beliefs around how the world works• The dynamics of inflation and its impact on financial markets• The importance of acknowledging that you don't know the full truth and adapting priors based on new information• The potential risks and rewards of investing in regional banks• The impact of inflation on the valuation of assets and the potential for downturns in certain sectors• The potential of policy support in China and its impact on the global economy• The potential for growth in India and the challenges it faces• The impact of the dollar on the global economy and the potential for its declineThis episode provides a deep dive into the intricacies of financial markets, economic models, and the global economy. It's a must-listen for anyone interested in understanding the complexities of these topics and gaining valuable insights to navigate the uncertain financial landscape.This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day, hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global* and Richard Laterman of ReSolve Asset Management.*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.