SI198: Trend Following wearing Loose Pants ft. Jerry Parker

Today, we are joined by Jerry Parker to discuss how recessions affect current trends and returns for Trend Followers, how to use ATR to determine the initial stop and when to switch to using a trailing stop for your position. We also discuss if it's possible to achieve comparable performance when investing through a public or private fund. Finally we turn to a few imporant topics like how “alts” or "alternatives" mean different things to different people, the Commodity Super Cycle and how it can create a false narrative, how Trend Following adapts to market regimes and much more.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to [email protected] please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Jerry on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Intro01:57 - Market overview09:42 - Q1, Andre: What to expect after a good run in Trend Following returns13:51 - Q2, Ryan: How to use Average True Range (ATR)27:05 - Q3, David: Performance in public mutual funds vs. offshore funds32:07 - Q4, Paul: When to switch from Initial to Trailing stop and sizing your position39:56 - Q5, Victor: How did Jerry manage to give back 200 ATRs in TESLA?47:17 - Q6, Victor: How to Allocate your Risk Budget to avoid running out of cash?53:41 - The different meatnings of “Alts” when it comes to investing01:02:04 - Commodity Super Cycles - a false narrative?01:09:51 - How Trend Following adapts to ever chaning market regimes01:13:02 - What to expect from Trend Following in the long...